InterMune Volatility Bets Through the Roof (ITMN)
Submitted by BioHealth Investor Blog
We noted last week that there had been some extra options activity over in InterMune, Inc. (NASDAQ: ITMN) ahead of a date-review decision. Today saw excess trading in the stock, and explosive trading volume in both the put and call options as traders made their volatility bets for a binary trading event scheduled for March 9. The stock traded over 3.4 million shares versus 683,000 shares on average. The stock closed up 5.7% at $16.50 and the 52-week trading range is $10.48 to $19.12. We do not care about the FEB-2010 options as they are before the date, but MAR-2010 options expiration date is on March 19, 2010.
CALL Volume OpInt Last
15.00 1,755 5,074 $5.40
17.50 14,991 7,596 $4.50
20.00 8,065 2,863 $3.70
22.50 2,375 158 $3.00
PUT$ Volume OpInt Last
10.00 6,610 541 $1.85
12.50 1,745 1,101 $2.70
15.00 3,521 2,136 $4.00
We’ll save on the technical jargon, but the closest speculative volatility bet being long the closest CALL and PUT effectively puts this stock having to go above $27.00 or below $5.50… The combined premiums are roughly $9.50, up almost $5.50 from when we looked ta this last week. Keep in mind that those are major price changes from what was seen last week and those spreads should compress over the coming days…. barring any real new news.
Joe Kunkle of OptionsHawk.com pointed this one out last week and gave a brief heads-up alert on this one again.
Keep in mind that there is a huge discrepancy over analyst price targets as this is a battleground stock with many bears and many bulls on both sides of the fence. To show just how active the bets are for and against this one…. it had 6.425 million shares listed in the short interest based upon the settlement date of January 15, 2010.
The company announced this morning that the FDA Pulmonary-Allergy Drugs Advisory Committee (PADAC) is scheduled to discuss the company’s New Drug Application (NDA) for pirfenidone on March 9, 2010.
This covers InterMune’s investigational drug candidate for the treatment of patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, a uniformly fatal disease that affects about 100,000 Americans. More than 30,000 new cases are diagnosed annually. The company even noted that this has a higher mortality rate than colorectal cancer, breast cancer or prostate cancer, but noted that there are currently no approved medicines to treat IPF.
JON C. OGG
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